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Trader Overview
0x316089112e8801683a974194051f115abb63e846 is a Polymarket trader running 1,160 trades per day on a bot that somehow stays profitable despite losing money overall.
This is a crypto_bot grinding Polymarket at algorithmic speed. Ranked 2,318,703 on the leaderboard, this wallet trades across 1,578 different markets with a 44% win rate and a -$1,072.52 total PnL. The volume is real — $91,238.90 moved through 2,094 trades in what looks like a single day of execution. Average trade size sits at $5.74, meaning this is high-frequency noise arbitrage, not conviction bets.
The edge hack here is pure speed. While retail Polymarket traders sit in Discord channels debating election odds, this bot fires market orders into liquid 5-15 minute windows — specifically the Solana Up or Down micromarkets. On Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:30AM ET it grabbed $560.86 in pure edge. Minutes later on Solana Up or Down - March 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET it ate a -$327.51 drawdown. This is the bot's entire career compressed: micro-wins stacking, micro-losses stacking, aggregate chaos.
What actually separates this from a random degenerate throwing $5 into every market is discipline. The risk level stays low. Max single win $560.86, max single loss -$327.51 — position sizing is locked. No YOLO emotions. The buy-sell ratio of 1.16 shows slight accumulation bias but nothing reckless. This isn't a whale. This is a script that learned to not blow up while playing 2,094 hands with a sub-50% win rate.
But here's the reality check: the wallet is bleeding. Negative ROI at -1.18%. The bot is down $1,072 lifetime on $91k volume, which means it's paying fees faster than it's generating edge. Most days probably break even or lose 0.5-1.2%. This is what happens when you run high-frequency Polymarket arbitrage without meaningful alpha — you grind until liquidity tightens and the spread eats your lunch.
Currently holding 4 open positions with $3.14 in portfolio value. The machine is still turning but the juice isn't there anymore.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see how long a losing bot survives before getting unplugged.
crypto botRisk: low