llyuanqu
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llyuanqu is a Polymarket wallet profile with $23 PnL, $15.1K total volume, a 48.2% win rate, and activity across 88 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as high and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
HOOK
llyuanqu [0x2e7bf9741ef2f1f84667f81f5b5451330fab2dee] Polymarket trader dumped $121.94 into 170 trades across 88 markets in months and walked away down 50.8% — but somehow scored a $96 swing on the same Bitcoin micro-event that crushed him for $95, proof he's chasing noise instead of signal.
IDENTITY
llyuanqu is a diversified degenerate rank 330,538 on the Polymarket leaderboard. High-risk, high-churn operator. Trades everything: micro-Bitcoin ticks, election noise, whatever's got 2-minute liquidity. The type who sees vol and thinks "free money" instead of "trap."
STRATEGY
This is classic retail chaos packaged as "diversification." llyuanqu buys early, sells panic. The buy-to-sell ratio of 6.8x screams one thing: he's loading positions on hype and exiting at market terror. Average entry price sits at 0.28 — betting yes-side heavily — but his 48.2% win rate says the market's calling him wrong half the time. Zero edge, pure slot-machine energy. He trades 0.5 times per day, so every move matters. Most don't.
PROOF
$22.90 in total PnL on $121.94 deposits equals that brutal -50.8% ROI. The wallet shows 166 closed positions, 4 still open. Best trade hit $95.99 on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET; worst trade lost $95 on the exact same market. Same event. Same window. Opposite outcomes. That's not skill. That's coinflips with extra steps. Average trade size of $43.60 across 88 different Polymarket markets means he's spraying capital like a Prediction market wallet checker on autopilot.
EDGE
There is none. llyuanqu has no documented edge. He's not a Polymarket whale, not a noise farmer with conviction, not a bot arbitraging spreads. He's a diversified trader in name only — diversified across his own losses. High-risk designation confirmed: max single win and max single loss are nearly identical ($96 vs -$95), which means he's betting like a coin-flip machine with no position sizing discipline.
NOW
Portfolio sitting at $60 USDC, zero withdrawals ever. Still holding 4 open positions. The math is grim: $121.94 in, $98.14 burned, nothing pulled. If he keeps trading at 0.5 per day, the math stays ugly unless conviction suddenly arrives.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru and study what not to do — llyuanqu is the Polymarket analytics cautionary tale.
diversifiedRisk: high