makariso
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makariso is a Polymarket wallet profile with $236 PnL, $49.3K total volume, a 61.5% win rate, and activity across 85 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Meet makariso — the Polymarket trader with a 77% negative ROI on deposits, yet a 61.5% win rate from 54 trades. Opened the wallet, saw a $521 starting kitty, now it's down to pocket change — but the stats don't add up unless you zoom in.
makariso, rank #150,117 on Polymarket. Conservative trader, low risk tolerance. Top categories: crypto speculation and Elon Musk tweet counts. Boring by design.
Strategy is simple: small buy-ins on binary outcomes, average trade size of $20. No yoloing. No meme coin plays. The edge? Picking high-probability yes/no events in niche prediction markets where retail overpays for "obvious" outcomes and he fades their conviction. He's not trying to 10x — he's trying to not lose.
Proof: 85 markets, $49.3K volume, and a max win of $72 on Elon Musk # tweets May 15 - May 22, 2026? (2026-05-22). His worst trade? Also Elon tweets, opposite side — lost $73 on Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026? (2026-06-02). Mirror-image losses cancel the edge.
What separates makariso from 99% of degens: discipline. He doesn't revenge bet. He runs a 1.3:1 buy-to-sell ratio, meaning he sells winners more aggressively than he holds losers. No full port plays. No overnight bags. It's math over gut — and the math says this approach survives longer than the apes.
Current state: two open positions, portfolio value of $3.77. He's drawn down 77% of his deposits. Realism check — this is a grind, not a breakout. He's still alive, but survival without scaling is a coffin.
Check his wallet on Predicts.guru to see if the grind continues or he finally hits the sequence that turns $3 into $300.
conservativeRisk: low