2236
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2236 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$2.2K PnL, $50.5K total volume, a 69.5% win rate, and activity across 155 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that says "low risk" but somehow dropped $1,186 on a single five-minute Bitcoin candle — meet 2236, the 2236 Polymarket trader whose 69.5% win rate still leaves him down $2,213.
Identity: ranked #3,015,537, conservative trader type, 155 markets touched across crypto noise and event-driven plays. 121 closed positions, zero open right now — guy sits in cash when unsure.
Strategy: buys dips on short-duration BTC up/down markets, average entry at $0.75, holds barely five minutes. The edge hack? He's not predicting direction — he's farming the bid-ask spread on expiry timing. Sounds dumb until you see 69.5% win rate.
Proof: -$2.2K total PnL on $50.5K volume, 2.5x more buys than sells — he's a taker, not a maker. Best trade: $115 on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET. Worst: -$1,186 on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET. One bad candle erased two weeks of edge.
Edge: most degens chase 80% win rates with huge tails. 2236 flips it — grinds small wins, eats one catastrophic loss, and keeps going. That's discipline, not skill. Any Polymarket whale can buy the same dip; surviving the drawdown is the real test.
Now: zero positions, sitting flat. 69.5%% win rate and still negative ROI means his risk management is the problem — the math says his average loss is 10x his average win. That's not sustainable, it's a ticking bomb for retail who copy him.
Want to see if 2236 ever fixes his tail risk? Track this wallet with a Polymarket wallet checker on Predicts.guru — or check other top Polymarket traders who actually know how to size.
conservativeRisk: low