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crayven is a Polymarket wallet profile with $5.4K PnL, $308.2K total volume, a 54.5% win rate, and activity across 634 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
crayven Polymarket trader (0x2aacd459eaea420eb0d7b94c7b03238786c6dfad) deposited $23.6K, turned it into $5.4K PnL across 666 trades in pure volume chaos — then somehow still holds a 54.5% win rate while sitting at -13.81% ROI, the most unhinged "I'm winning statistically but losing money" trader you'll see.
Rank 19,907 diversified degen. Trades 4.4 markets per day across 634 different markets. The opposite of a specialist. crayven is the type of Polymarket wallet you check and immediately think "this person must be using a bot to generate activity" — 574 closed positions, 92 still open, avg trade size $80, buy-to-sell ratio 3.5:1. The profile screams noise collector, the kind who sees a market move and fires instantly without thinking.
Here's the edge hack that makes zero sense: crayven has a 54.52% win rate on Polymarket, which statistically should print money. Instead, -13.81% ROI. This isn't luck — it's position sizing gone wrong. Single best trade pulled $1,717 on How many U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?, single worst trade bled -$922 on Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory. Same spread of pain and gain, but volume is eating the difference. Low risk designation means crayven doesn't blow up accounts — just slowly bleeds through fees and slippage on tiny positions.
What separates this Polymarket trader from pure liquidation is discipline. Trades-per-day rate stays flat at 4.4 despite portfolio swings. Avg entry price sits 0.73, meaning crayven buys dips methodically instead of chasing. The $5.4K portfolio value still sits above net transfers ($8.69K in), so withdrawals haven't turned into panic exits yet. Most traders with this ROI are already gone.
Currently holds 92 open positions. Not everyone survives the next correction.
Track crayven and similar diversified Polymarket traders on Predicts.guru's wallet analytics dashboard to see how bot-like activity patterns actually convert to real PnL.
diversifiedRisk: low