Loading wallet statistics...
Trader Overview
Maxinski Polymarket trader runs a 98.6% win rate across 678 prediction markets while down 55.8% on deposits — the inverse of every retail crypto narrative, and way harder to stomach.
Maxinski, rank 54395, conservative trader type. The wallet shows $1,025 PnL lifetime against $6,297 deposited. Win rate sits at 98.63%, which would normally scream "this is fake or bot-driven." Except the ROI is -55.81%. That's the real edge story here — not the wins, but why they don't matter.
The strategy: flood volume with micro-sized bets across niche prediction markets. Average trade size is $110, but Maxinski trades 7.4 times daily, rotating through 678 different markets. No concentration. No big swings. Just consistent small-position hunting on low-liquidity weather, sports, and election noise where inefficiencies hide. Buy-sell ratio of 1.55 suggests patient entry discipline — more buying than panic selling. On paper, 98% of positions close winners. On the wallet, the math breaks down hard because that 1 loss per 50 wins is catastrophic. The worst single trade lost $1,173 on a temperature prediction. The best made $36. That ratio alone explains the drawdown — one freak loss wipes out 30+ micro-wins.
Edge isn't skill. Edge is infrastructure and discipline to execute mechanical rules nobody else has patience for. Maxinski treats Polymarket like a data collection game, not a PnL chase. The wallet stayed disciplined enough to never blow up despite 678 markets touched. But the math is brutal: win 98 times at +$1.20, lose once at -$1,173, repeat. That's not edge. That's negative expectancy disguised as discipline. Conservative risk setting prevented total liquidation, but couldn't prevent structural loss.
Current state: 18 open positions, $2,782 portfolio value, zero withdrawals. This trader is still grinding, still betting $100-120 per shot. The skepticism is warranted — looks free until you realize the edge is reversed. Maxinski Polymarket trader proves high win rates and high volume can coexist with slow account bleed. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
conservativeRisk: low