loser-star
Loading wallet statistics…
loser-star is a Polymarket wallet profile with $4.5K PnL, $4.5M total volume, a 95.1% win rate, and activity across 2206 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
loser-star (0x25a7fcfe11abd6ae873148584fa3e1b6aa98a4c8) Polymarket trader just hit rank 19,493 with a 95.1% win rate across 2,169 trades — and somehow still down 18.69% on $140K deployed.
Here's the shocking part: this is what happens when you're right 95% of the time but wrong about position sizing. loser-star trades like a machine — 33 times per day, $386 average ticket, $4.5M total volume — and nails prediction market fundamentals better than 99% of the field. The wallet shows discipline: low risk profile, 2,206 markets traded, closed 2,169 positions cleanly. But the math doesn't lie. $4.5K PnL on $140K deposits is the inverse of free money.
The edge is obvious once you see it: loser-star farms noise. Micro-positions across every market that moves, catching small mispricings with surgical precision. That 95% Polymarket win rate doesn't happen on luck or vibes — it's pattern recognition at scale, execution on 33 daily trades, bet sizing that assumes you'll be right most of the time. The best trade example proves it: MegaETH public sale commitment prediction hit $4.5K profit. Clean. Repeatable. Then the Monad public sale trade went the other way for -$3,201, one drawdown that reminds you why Polymarket whales stay humble.
What separates this Polymarket trader from typical degens? Volume discipline mixed with accuracy. The buy/sell ratio of 30.25 suggests heavy directional conviction over hedging games. The average entry price of 0.99 means this wallet catches odds at peak value, not chasing +0.50 or worse. But here's the catch: high win rate doesn't guarantee positive PnL. One bad macro call or event black swan (see: Monad loss) can erase weeks of micro-edge stacking. The -18.69% ROI on deposits is brutal honesty wrapped in technical mastery.
Current state: 8 open positions, $63K portfolio value after $50K withdrawn. Not blowing up, not printing. This looks like a trader learning the hard lesson that Polymarket volume can hide drawdown risk. The numbers show consistency — 33 trades daily, 2,169 total, win rate holding steady — but consistency at a loss is just slow bleed with style.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru or similar Polymarket leaderboards to see if loser-star's edge finally catches up to the math, because right now the win rate is real but the PnL is fiction.
whaleRisk: low