Stubborn25
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Stubborn25 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$3 PnL, $187 total volume, a 87.9% win rate, and activity across 50 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Stubborn25 Polymarket trader: 87.9% win rate, $3.11M in losses on $52 deposit in weeks. This is what happens when you win every trade and still get wrecked.
The profile reads like a paradox wrapped in a warning. Stubborn25 (0x251f321c12377a6e93ca8910f14a4a2d2dc27455) sits at rank 1330482 with a conservative trader type tag, 50 total trades across 50 different markets, and a win rate that should feel untouchable: nearly 88%. But his ROI tells the real story: minus 64.21 percent. He dropped $52.36 into Polymarket, withdrew only $18.74, and now holds $33.62 in net transfers while bleeding value across his 17 open positions.
The strategy is pure noise scalping on ultra-short Bitcoin volatility windows. Most days he executes 22.3 trades per day across quick 5-minute Bitcoin Up or Down markets. His best trade hit $3.1 loss on Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET, but his worst trade ate minus $3.60 on the exact same market minutes earlier Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET. The buy-sell ratio sits at 18.5, meaning he's chasing fills hard—averaging $2.03 per trade on entry. Entry price of 0.6745 across the board screams retail fighting against mid prices in illiquid micro markets.
What separates Stubborn25 isn't edge; it's what he's missing. High win rate on Polymarket's shortest-duration markets often means you're catching lucky flips in noise, not predicting outcomes. The conservative risk tag should have protected him, but max single losses of $3.60 compound when you're running 50 trades on a $52 stack. He's fighting time decay, liquidity premiums, and the spread simultaneously. The Polymarket leaderboard and Polymarket wallet analytics tools will show his profile as the classic high-frequency retail trap: winning most bets while the position sizing and market structure destroy cumulative returns. Check Predicts.guru to watch this Polymarket whale's wallet in real-time and see whether the 87.9% win rate sustains when the drawdown deepens.
conservativeRisk: low