ma-1
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ma-1 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$2.5K PnL, $1.2M total volume, a 40.0% win rate, and activity across 9 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as high and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet with {$1.2M} in volume but only 5 trades — ma-1’s Polymarket pnl sits at {-$2.5K}. A whale who moves like a sniper.
ma-1 Polymarket trader. Rank 2.8M, whale type, small-cap event specialist. Bet on Bitcoin dips and Fed moves. That’s basically it.
Strategy: high conviction, low frequency. Places massive size on binary tail events. His core edge? He doesn’t trade noise — he stakes on specific macro triggers that the broader market underprices for binary resolution. That’s the whole playbook.
Proof: Opened the wallet, expected insane volatility. Saw a 40% win rate, {40%} average. The killer trade? Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? — bagged +$1,636. But the worst: Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? — lost -$2,400. That’s a 2.4x loser on a single event. Brutal.
Edge: he doesn’t spread. Retail chases 9 markets; he farms one narrative. Discipline over diversification. His buy-sell ratio is 10x — meaning he holds, doesn’t flip. But that discipline makes the drawdowns absolute. Not everyone survives a $2.5K loss on one bet.
Now: no open positions. Entirely cold. {5} closed trades, {9} markets touched. The math says he’s net down, but the approach is pure — you can’t copy the conviction if you can’t stomach the loss.
Use a Polymarket wallet checker like Predicts.guru to verify the exact entries — and see why most whales burn harder than they print.
whaleRisk: high