trader-246837d4
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trader-246837d4 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $5 PnL, $3.9K total volume, a 63.0% win rate, and activity across 373 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
WALLET 0x246837d45a3c8acda5c2768d9f8eb514d40baa1d IS A POLYMARKET TRADER RUNNING 270 TRADES ACROSS 373 MARKETS WITH A 63% WIN RATE — AND STILL DOWN $9.70.
This is what happens when you confuse volume with edge. The Polymarket trader at 0x246837d45a3c8acda5c2768d9f8eb514d40baa1d operates like a casino floor day trader: 19 trades per day, microscopic average position size ($2.40), spread across everything from esports to government shutdowns. Diversified portfolio. Constant movement. Noise collection disguised as strategy.
The numbers tell the real story. Win rate sits at 59.8% — better than a coin flip, decent looking on paper. But that Polymarket win rate doesn't matter when your biggest winner hits $1.91 on the esports call against your $5K worst-case loss on How long will the Government Shutdown last? (2026-03-14). Total PnL: negative $9.70 on $2,877 in volume. ROI of -0.34%. This Polymarket trader is essentially breaking even while working twice as hard as everyone else.
The edge here is nonexistent — it's just pure churn. Average entry price of 0.935 suggests buying near fair value on everything, which means zero edge on position setup. You're competing on speed and selection across 266 separate markets. That's not a prediction markets strategy. That's a hamster wheel. The buy-sell ratio of 0.53 shows more selling than buying, which tracks: you're getting shaken out of winners and holding losers.
Current portfolio sits at $18.47 with 6 open positions still bleeding. Low risk designation is accurate because position sizing guarantees you can't blow up fast — but it also guarantees you can't compound. This Polymarket trader has the discipline to survive but not the concentration to win. Markets are punishing diversification across low-conviction noise picks. The real lesson: 19 trades daily across 373 markets isn't edge. It's just expensive churning.
conservativeRisk: low