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0xSpivach is a Polymarket wallet profile with $3.2K PnL, $414.6K total volume, a 41.7% win rate, and activity across 36 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xSpivach Polymarket Trader Turned Cautionary Tale: $4.5K Profit on $9.7K Deposits Masks a -75% ROI Drawdown
0xSpivach is a diversified Polymarket trader sitting at rank 22,845 with $4,509.19 total PnL across 37 trades — but here's the jaw-dropping contrast: despite grinding $401K in total volume and hitting a max single win of $3,896.36, this wallet is down 75.57% on deposits. One trade saved the entire account from total collapse.
The wallet belongs to a low-risk generalist who spreads bets across 35 different markets instead of specializing. 41% win rate. 0.1 trades per day — basically a part-time degen who pokes markets like a casual explorer. Deposited $9,772 net, cashed out $320. The math doesn't work: portfolio sits at $2,145.96, meaning somewhere between deposit and now, roughly $7.6K evaporated into market slippage and bad calls.
What separates 0xSpivach from total liquidation is a single trade on Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs that printed $3,896.36 — basically the entire current portfolio in one market. That same wallet also ate a $1,509.78 loss on Gensyn public sale total commitments?, proving zero margin of error in this strategy. Buy-sell ratio of 1.91 means aggressive entry sizing that catches moves in the wrong direction hard.
The edge here is pure luck masquerading as edge. Diversification across 35 markets with 41% accuracy is how you slowly bleed capital. Average trade size of $893.59 with 0.1 daily frequency suggests no infrastructure, no pattern recognition, no Polymarket wallet analytics chasing directional thesis. Just random walks through noise hoping one bet sticks. The Dota trade probably felt like genius afterward; the Gensyn loss is already forgotten.
Currently holding 2 open positions with zero recent momentum. This wallet is live warning material for prediction market analytics: you can crush $401K in volume and still end the quarter down 75%. Not everyone survives the drawdown. Check Predicts.guru to see if 0xSpivach can flip the script or becomes another cautionary tale in the Polymarket leaderboard graveyard.
diversifiedRisk: low