0x21D4a52AC6cF16566cf3945CdEA156aC362584Bd-1766530948404
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0x21D4a52AC6cF16566cf3945CdEA156aC362584Bd-1766530948404 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $28.7K PnL, $433.3K total volume, a 55.4% win rate, and activity across 79 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet just turned $94K in deposits into a $28.7K realized win on Polymarket — then immediately proved why that matters less than you think: 0x21d4a52ac6cf16566cf3945cdea156ac362584bd is a diversified Polymarket trader sitting rank 3775 with a brutal reminder that raw PnL doesn't equal edge.
The numbers look mediocre at first glance. 55.4% win rate on 76 total trades across 79 different markets. ROI of negative 9.86% on deposits. But open that wallet and you see someone who actually executes — $28.7K profit, $8.8K single best trade on Panthers vs. Wild (2026-01-25), brutal -$7.9K worst loss on Lightning vs. Sabres (2026-03-08). Trading at 79 markets per day on average across everything — sports, politics, crypto, noise markets. No laser focus. Just constant motion.
The real edge here? Volume resilience. This trader deployed $1.8K average per trade and held through the pain. Deposited $94K total, withdrew $73K, kept $20K net skin in game. Most degens blow up at the first -$8K drawdown. This one reloaded. The buy-sell ratio of 7.7x tells you something too — aggressive entry, selective exit. Not panic selling every red candle. The Polymarket wallet analytics show someone who doesn't care about being wrong on individual trades, only about showing up enough to let variance work in their favor.
But here's the caveat nobody mentions: negative ROI means every dollar earned cost them more than one dollar deployed. They're not actually ahead on capital efficiency. The $28.7K looks clean until you realize they burned $94K to generate it. That's not an edge — that's luck with overhead. The 11 open positions could flip this entire profile tomorrow. Medium risk is generous; this is someone one bad week away from another $7.9K crater.
Current portfolio sits at $11.7K in liquid value. Not a whale, not a bot, just a human chasing markets across 79 different categories with consistent daily activity. The edge here is brutal honesty about variance — most prediction market analysts obsess over win rate; this trader just keeps playing.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru or browse other top Polymarket traders to see if diversification actually beats specialization.
diversifiedRisk: medium