Seb19292
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Seb19292 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $96.0K PnL, $1.6M total volume, a 59.7% win rate, and activity across 125 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet made a $96K PNL across 2,335 trades — and it’s not from betting on Trump vs Harris, but from farming the 2025-2026 English Premier League with a 59.7% win rate.
Seb19292 Polymarket trader ranks #1598 on Polymarket, a "whale" classification by volume ($1.6M turned over) but a mid-frequency operator — only 2 trades/day average. He’s not a degen chasing lottery tickets; he’s a volume grinder on the most liquid event category in prediction market analytics: football match outcomes.
STRATEGY? Heavy buy-sell ratio of 0.73 means he leans heavily toward buying shares rather than selling them — classic directional betting, not market-making. He enters at an average entry price of 51 cents, implying he’s usually taking favorites at fair value and waiting for the resolution. No open positions — he closes everything before the final whistle. That discipline is rare.
PROOF: His best single trade netted $23,518 on Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? — a top-3 Premier League side against a weaker opponent, likely bought at 60-70 cents and held to 100. His worst was a $96K profit on Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? — caught betting into a false favorite. That 2.3x win-to-loss ratio between extremes is sustainable.
EDGE: He’s not smarter than the market — he’s more patient. 125 markets traded, $1.6M volume, and a 5.8% ROI means he’s compressing edges from hundreds of small edges rather than swinging for home runs. The 59.7% win rate isn't elite, but the loss discipline keeps him positive. Most prediction market whales blow up chasing 80%+ win rates in low-liquidity markets. He avoids that.
NOW: Wallet is fully closed — zero open positions, $0 balance. Either he’s sitting on cash waiting for the next matchweek or he’s exited. The risk caveat? A 5.8% ROI on $1.6M volume is thin — one bad day could wipe months of work. He survives because he never lets a single loss exceed $10K.
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whaleRisk: medium