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Trader Overview
Pytus Polymarket trader 0x1fa35bd1435def4701e626b85c54370e8952da4a dropped $82K into prediction markets and somehow turned it into a -$53K crater in under three months — textbook case of how conviction without edge equals liquidation.
Pytus ranks outside the top 2M Polymarket traders for a reason. The wallet shows 15 total trades across 15 different markets with a brutal 25% win rate and -56.56% ROI on deposits. Started with $96.7K, withdrew only $14.1K early, then watched the remaining $82.5K net transfer evaporate into a -$53,743 loss. Current portfolio sits at $27.8K with 3 open positions still bleeding. This is diversified trader behavior at its worst — scattered bets with zero specialization.
The strategy reads like a degen playing prediction market roulette. Trades at $1,850 average size with 1.4 trades per day, which isn't high-frequency but proves the impulse problem. The best trade? $1.89K win on Khamenei geopolitical noise. The worst? -$46.8K loss on US Iran strike speculation. That 27-to-1 loss-to-win ratio tells you everything — one bad position destroyed twelve winning ones combined. The Polymarket win rate of 25% means for every correct call, three bets go sideways. Across 923K total volume, Pytus essentially paid $53K tuition to learn markets don't reward distribution across random events.
What separates most winning Polymarket traders from this account is niche focus and patience. Pytus went wide instead of deep — 15 markets, zero mastery. Buy-sell ratio of 1.55 suggests he chases momentum instead of reading order flow. The geopolitical Iran bets were hot that week; the market was already priced; he entered late on headline panic. No edge hack here, just reaction to noise. Real Polymarket whales build thesis in one or two categories, monitor them daily, wait for mispricing. Pytus treated it like scratch-offs.
Current state: three open positions remaining in the portfolio with $27.8K left to work with. Risk level marked as "low" but the data says otherwise — max single loss of -$46.8K proves concentration was the real move. The math is brutal: he'd need a 94% gain on remaining capital just to break even. Not everyone survives the drawdown, and Pytus's trajectory suggests he won't. The prediction market leaderboard is littered with accounts like this, buried under their own lack of discipline.
diversifiedRisk: low