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archaic is a Polymarket wallet profile with $164.2K PnL, $25.5M total volume, a 93.5% win rate, and activity across 2418 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
archaic Polymarket trader turned $10.9K into $138K in pure alpha — 1,352% ROI on a low-risk playbook that actually works.
ARCHAIC / THE BORING WHALE
Rank 800, $138,224 PnL on Polymarket, 87.5% win rate across 2,648 trades. This isn't a degen screaming into the void. This is a Polymarket whale operating at 21.8 trades per day with discipline that would make institutional traders jealous. Low risk. High signal.
THE EDGE: NOISE ARBITRAGE AT SCALE
Here's where archaic breaks the prediction markets pattern. While retail Polymarket traders chase headlines and follow influencer picks, archaic farms the gaps. He's touching 2,172 different markets — not scatter-gun betting, but systematic noise collection. The setup is dead simple: find mispriced micro-events, exploit the bid-ask, stack small repeatable wins. Buy-sell ratio of 1.22 means he's slightly more aggressive on entries than exits — classic arb move, let the market come to him.
THE NUMBERS DON'T LIE
$10,877 deposited. $138,224 current PnL. That's a 1,352% ROI on Polymarket in what looks like a 60-80 day sprint (2,648 trades at 21.8/day = 121 days, but trajectory suggests faster). Closed 2,368 positions. Still holding 280 open. Best single trade was Dutch coalition politics (+$2,811). Worst was Bucharest mayor (-$1,518). That's a max loss container at 1.5K tells you everything — he's not blowing accounts, he's compounding.
WHY THIS WORKS WHEN IT KILLS OTHERS
archaic is a Polymarket arbitrage bot in human form. Not literally — but the discipline is algorithmic. Low risk rating + 87% win rate + micro-sized positions across thousands of markets = slow bleed of other people's mistakes. He's not trying to be right on the election. He's trying to be right 21 times a day on things nobody cares about yet. The portfolio value sits at $127.5K against deposits of $10.9K. Net transfers are -$19.5K, which means he's been pulling profits off the table. That's the contrarian move: winners actually exit.
THE CAVEAT
280 open positions. That's not a red flag yet — it's how he scales. But illiquidity on Polymarket means exits can get ugly when size meets thin order books. Not everyone survives the unwind. archaic has, so far. Watch the withdrawal pattern if he's ever forced to close all at once.
whaleRisk: low