0x1ba8b26269b01d565188429f16b3ddae33c3fa04
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0x1ba8b26269b01d565188429f16b3ddae33c3fa04 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $14 PnL, $5.1K total volume, a 63.3% win rate, and activity across 350 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
0x1ba8b26269b01d565188429f16b3ddae33c3fa04 Polymarket trader dumped $81 into 416 trades across 350 markets in pure scatter-shot mode — then watched it evaporate to $13.67, a -98.95% ROI that reads like a masterclass in what not to do.
Name: 0x1ba8b26269b01d565188429f16b3ddae33c3fa04. Rank #353,897. Trader type: "conservative" on paper. Reality: high-frequency noise collection at 92 trades per day. Win rate sits at 63.26% — strong on paper, totally meaningless when you're hemorrhaging capital on micro-positions.
Here's the contrarian angle: this wallet proves conviction is everything. Conservative classification, low risk settings, a 63.3% win rate — all the hallmarks of a player who should be up. Instead, the Polymarket leaderboard would bury this account. The strategy appears to be algorithmic scatter: tiny average entry price of 0.72 cents, buy-sell ratio of 3.3x (heavy on accumulation), averaging $3 per trade. It's bot-adjacent. Looks like someone fed a script "find every market, enter everywhere, pray one sticks." The math breaks: you need either massive concentration or volume. This trader did neither. Just pure, undiluted market chaos.
The proof is in the bleed. Best single trade hit $16.51 on Sabres vs. Golden Knights (2026-03-18), but worst trade torched -$29.99 on Spurs vs. Kings (2026-03-18) — same day, opposite catastrophe. That's not edge. That's noise arbitrage without arbitrage math.
What separates this Polymarket wallet from winners: literally everything. No niche mastery. No position sizing. No portfolio coherence. The edge here is negative — a cautionary tale wrapped in crypto. You can trade 416 times with a 63.3% win rate and still crater to -$67 because you're farming pennies across 350 markets instead of making one bet that matters. The prediction market analytics community watches this kind of account to learn what drowning looks like.
Currently holding 3 open positions and $0.85 in realized value. The contrarian lesson: sometimes being "conservative" is code for "never risking enough to win." Check this wallet on Predicts.guru's Polymarket wallet checker to see how discipline and position sizing actually move the needle.
conservativeRisk: low