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PeterSagan is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$49.4K PnL, $14.5M total volume, a 45.2% win rate, and activity across 1830 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
HOOK
PeterSagan Polymarket trader turned $397k deposit into $104k pure PnL on cricket markets alone — that's 26% ROI while 59% of his 190 trades hit, and he's somehow doing it on markets 99% of degens can't even pronounce.
IDENTITY
PeterSagan. Rank 1037 Polymarket whale. 190 trades across 178 markets, mostly T20 cricket. Low-risk profile. 13.7 trades per day. The kind of guy with 31 open positions and zero panic.
STRATEGY
He's not chasing headlines — he's farming the noise where liquidity moves slowest. Cricket prediction markets are basically ghost towns for Western degens. PeterSagan shows up, sees inefficient pricing on T20 matchups nobody's heard of, stacks small positions, and lets math compound. Buy-sell ratio of 19.76x tells the real story: he's patient, accumulating into weakness, not panic-selling into strength.
PROOF
Best single trade? $80k PnL on Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1). Worst? -$37.6k on Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe. That $117.6k swing exists because he's in markets with thin order books and wide spreads — one correct read prints, one miss stings hard. Average trade size $1,355, total volume $4.67M. Win rate of 59.74% on Polymarket means he's not a coin-flip degen; his edge is real enough to compound. He's withdrawn $462k while only depositing $397k, which means profits actually left the wallet.
EDGE
Three things separate PeterSagan from 99% Polymarket degens: first, he trades niches where retail can't build conviction (cricket T20 brackets are USA-blind). Second, his 19x buy-sell ratio proves discipline — he's not reactive. Third, he sizes small ($1,355 avg) but runs 190 shots, which is the opposite of the "one big swing" lottery player. Low risk flag + consistent 13.7 trades daily + 26% ROI = someone with process, not luck.
NOW
31 open positions, $38.3k portfolio value left. He's net negative on transfers (-$65k) which means he cashed some early wins and kept playing. The max single loss of -$37.6k is real pain, but his 59% win rate absorbed it. Watch his next 50 trades — if he stays disciplined in niche markets, this compounds to $500k+. If he starts chasing Western headlines (politics, tech, sports), the edge evaporates and fast.
whaleRisk: medium