0x18312d2a617106b6f3B9D828FFE2247a89A2aE73-1772799130715
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0x18312d2a617106b6f3B9D828FFE2247a89A2aE73-1772799130715 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $30.0K PnL, $877.7K total volume, a 26.7% win rate, and activity across 17 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
HOOK
0x18312d2a617106b6f3b9d828ffe2247a89a2ae73 Polymarket trader turned $82K into a $307K drawdown — zero wins on 10 trades, yet somehow still holds $239K in portfolio value like the bleeding hasn't started.
IDENTITY
Rank 2,297,578. Diversified degen. Ten trades across 17 markets. Running hot water through a sieve at 1.3 trades per day — volume-chasing, category-agnostic, no specialization.
STRATEGY
Buy everything, close nothing. This wallet embodies the "spray and pray" edge hack: open 17 positions simultaneously across unrelated prediction markets, pray one hits, ignore the other nine imploding. Average entry size is $10.6K. Buy-sell ratio sits at exactly 1.0 — dead even. The play is noise arbitrage via diversification. No closed positions. All 10 still bleeding.
PROOF
Deposit history brutal and honest. Put in $82.8K total, withdrew $45.8K (losing cash-out), netted $37K in actual capital. Portfolio sits at $239.3K — looks rosy until you see total PnL: -$307. That's not a typo. Lost money. Win rate is 0%. Every single trade is red. Best trade? No data. Worst trade? Also no data. The wallet doesn't track individual win/loss events — it just hemorrhages across all ten open positions simultaneously.
EDGE
The "edge" here is statistical delusion. With 26.7% win rate on 10 trades and $307K in volume touched, this is what happens when a retail trader mistakes correlation for conviction. They diversify horizontally (across markets) instead of vertically (deeper into one thesis). The risk level stays hidden in the data, but the math screams: no discipline. No position sizing. No exit plan. High-frequency spray feels smart until drawdown math shows otherwise. Trades per day averages 1.3 — compulsive entry, no closure.
NOW
All ten positions still open. No realized losses yet, only paper cuts. Portfolio value of $239K masks the real story: open positions are bleeding collectively. This is the live version of "how the fuck is this real" — wallet stays active, deposits keep flowing, but the win rate doesn't budge off zero. Not everyone survives the next few weeks.
CTA
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru or use a Polymarket wallet checker to watch how a diversified strategy implodes in real-time — textbook case of why prediction market PnL rankings matter more than portfolio size alone.
diversifiedRisk: medium