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mrshy is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$25 PnL, $8.4K total volume, a 44.6% win rate, and activity across 388 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that deposited roughly $2,900 on Polymarket and now sits at just $10.74 in net PnL after 116 trades — yeah, mrshy is the human face of the prediction market meat grinder.
mrshy (rank #433,910) is a diversified Polymarket trader with a 43.05% win rate across 123 unique markets. His total volume is $2,904, with an average trade size of $4.65 — micro-stakes grinding, not whale territory.
Strategy: High-frequency, low-conviction. 4 trades per day, 5:1 buy-sell ratio. He’s betting tiny amounts on everything from IPL cricket to political outcomes, throwing spaghetti at the wall with a 4.5x preference for buying over selling. Average entry price: $0.59 (just above even money). Edge hack: volume over accuracy — flood small positions, hope variance bends your way.
Proof: Best single trade was on Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad — $40.97 profit. Worst was Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals — a -$20.04 loss. That’s a 2:1 win-loss ratio on extremes, but the middle 114 trades are drowning in noise. Portfolio value currently $101.81 — barely above starting capital after all that activity.
Edge: None detectable. This is a pure retail gambler, not a sharp. He’s losing more than he wins (43% win rate) but staying afloat by buying small when prices are below $0.60. If there’s a strategy, it’s “buy cheap, hope for a spike.” Math isn’t on his side.
Now: 39 open positions — meaning he’s holding 39 live bets, none big enough to move needle. Realism check: at $4.65 average trade, you need a 15x hit just to make $70. Not everyone survives the drawdown. He’s not broke, but he’s not printing either.
Want to see if mrshy finally catches a heater or keeps bleeding? Use Predicts.guru to check Polymarket wallet for this wallet — or browse the Polymarket leaderboard for actual edge traders.
diversifiedRisk: medium