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Trader Overview
Glamero Polymarket trader 0x13249f8b8bfe77c2e86887211bfd057dc21bf966 ran 190 trades across 110 markets with a 74% win rate—yet somehow lost $260 on the way, turning what looks like edge into a cautionary masterclass in execution failure.
The profile reads like a stat sheet designed to break your brain. Conservative trader, low risk tier, 3.6x buy-to-sell ratio (heavy on entries), averaging $36 per trade across 8.9k total volume. That 74% win rate should print money. Instead: negative ROI, negative PnL, two open positions still bleeding. Glamero trades once every three days on average, spreads bets thin across 110 different markets—the ultimate sign of scattered conviction.
Here's where it gets weird. Best single trade netted $89.81 on a stable FDV call (clean execution). Worst trade torched $154.39 on an Ethereum micro-window prediction (February 21, 6:05AM ET close). That 1.7x loss-to-best-win ratio isn't just bad luck—it's structural. The average entry price sits at 0.727, meaning Glamero buys mid-spread and often sells into noise. Buying at 73 cents, selling into 50-cent noise swings, taking $36 bets and hoping compounding works. It doesn't.
The real edge killer: zero conviction infrastructure. 190 trades across 110 markets = 1.7 trades per market. You're not building signal, you're collecting lottery tickets. When you chase breadth over depth, you're fighting Polymarket prediction market whales who own entire categories. The 74% win rate masks the fact that most wins are tiny ($10–20 range), while outlier losses crater the account. That's not edge—that's variance collapse. The low risk designation confirms it: Glamero isn't taking calculated shots, just churning micro-positions until one explodes.
Currently holding two open positions with nothing to show for 188 closed ones. The math is brutal: $8.9k in volume against $260 losses means Glamero is paying 2.9% in slippage, fees, and poor timing combined. That's the Polymarket leaderboard tax on undisciplined noise traders.
Not everyone survives the drawdown. Glamero's edge, if one exists, is buried under execution noise.
conservativeRisk: low