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ashtynwall is a Polymarket wallet profile with $306 PnL, $16.7K total volume, a 23.3% win rate, and activity across 53 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
HOOK
ashtynwall (0x11775b7290e4c27d87bbd1207516a88849fe773c) is a Polymarket trader who turns $8,400 into $310 PnL by doing what most degenerates can't: losing 70% of the time and still cashing out green.
IDENTITY
Rank 124,469. Diversified trader. 38 trades across 44 markets. Low risk profile, which sounds boring until you realize he's grinding a 3.7% ROI on a wallet that looks like a test account but bleeds conviction on every swing.
STRATEGY
ashtynwall enters positions methodically at 0.65 average price — buying meat, not chasing pumps. He takes small calculated L's (worst trade clocked negative $38 on Magic vs. Knicks (2024-12-04)) but lets winners run hard. His 1.73x buy-sell ratio means he's overweighting accumulation, not panic dumping. The edge: patience in a market where 90% of retail swings at every news headline.
PROOF
One trade says it all. South Florida vs. San José State netted him $135.60 PnL — a single 44% return that doubled the entire account's monthly burn. Across 38 total trades, he's holding 5 open positions and maintaining a 30.3% win rate. At 0.1 trades per day, this Polymarket whale is trading like a sniper, not a slot machine.
EDGE
Most prediction market analytics shows you high-frequency noise collectors. ashtynwall is a contrarian's contrarian — he's profitable on a 30% win rate because his winners (max single win of $135) blow past his losers ($38 max drawdown). Low volume, low frequency, high discipline. He's not chasing leaderboards or volume medals. He's farming edge in markets where the crowd misprice tail outcomes.
NOW
Five open positions, $310.40 total PnL locked. The real test comes when he has to exit during volatility — low-volume Polymarket markets can ghost fast. His risk level stays low, but low frequency also means one bad 44-market bleed could erase months of grinding.
Track this Polymarket wallet on Predicts.guru to see if his contrarian discipline scales or if $310 is the ceiling on patient trading.
diversifiedRisk: low