ScalpyBot
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ScalpyBot is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$228 PnL, $44.4K total volume, a 89.6% win rate, and activity across 497 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as high and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Opened the wallet expecting a bot-whale story, saw $505 deposited, $7 left, 89.6% win rate and a -$227.6 PnL — meet ScalpyBot (0x10d4a716749a2957a7a33a8dc98fea607eaabe13), the Polymarket trader whose stats break your brain.
ScalpyBot, rank #2.7M, is a self-described sniper with a 89.6% win rate on 5 trades, yet they've burned through the entire deposit. How? They're farming noise on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET micro-candles. Best trade and worst trade are the same market: +$66 max win, but the losses are hidden in the 497 markets touched and 1.1 trades/day grind. This is the classic "all green checkmarks, red portfolio" trap — the 89.6% win rate is real but meaningless because they never sized up after wins and kept bleeding via fees and slippage.
The edge hack here is time: they trade 5-minute Bitcoin up/down windows, aiming to catch panic spikes. But the math doesn't lie — avg trade size $5.20, avg entry $0.18, buy/sell ratio 2.2: buying cheap calls hoping for a bounce. It's a sniper rifle loaded with nerf darts. ScalpyBot is the perfect case study in why Polymarket win rate means nothing without bankroll management. They are the anti-whale — proof that high-frequency noise collection only works if your exits are faster than your FOMO.
Current state: 0 open positions, portfolio at $7.99, only $116 withdrawn vs $505 in. Brutal. The realism check: this looks like free money on a 100% tracker, but anybody copying this gets slaughtered on the next 20 trades. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
Want to dissect this wallet's 211-market footprint? Check the full Polymarket wallet analytics on Predicts.guru or stack it against real top Polymarket traders to see what a non-broken strategy actually looks like.
diversifiedRisk: high