Auberga
Loading wallet statistics...
Auberga is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$10 PnL, $3.1K total volume, a 82.1% win rate, and activity across 380 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Auberga (0x0c8c715b5c40972250c70ff2e5a30508de1b3a72) Polymarket trader runs 82.1% win rate across 162 trades on prediction markets — but sits underwater $4.3K on $3.1K total volume, the most brutal reminder that accuracy means nothing without position sizing.
Conservative micro-operator. Rank 1,307,408. Auberga trades prediction markets like a noise farmer: 66.5 trades per day across 158 different markets, averaging $1.28 per entry. The type who hunts small dislocations in illiquid corners of Polymarket where spreads stay fat. Trades light, trades often, trades scared.
The edge here is pure volume arbitrage wrapped in risk discipline. Auberga doesn't swing for the fences. Best single win sits at $4.06 (that Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Gea call), worst loss capped at -$6 flat. Buy-sell ratio of 1.83 means this trader leans directional but hedges hard. The Polymarket wallet checker reveals someone who's engineered a system: hit 82.1% win rate on Polymarket, stack micro-gains across dozens of thin markets daily, and let compounding do the work. Except it hasn't. Yet.
Here's the brutal part: Auberga's strategy works perfectly until it doesn't. A 82.1% win rate Polymarket trader sounds untouchable — and locally it is. But trading 24 open positions simultaneously across 158 different markets means exposure creep. The worst loss already exceeds the best win. One bad day liquidating into thin order books wipes weeks of gains. Portfolio value hovers at $48.75 against $3.1K total volume cycled. That's 24x turnover on a micro account. The math says this prediction market strategy prints if it scales; the reality says most margin runs don't.
Currently holding 24 open positions with portfolio bleeding -0.22% ROI despite the headline 77% accuracy. This is what happens when you're right more often than you're wrong but wrong bigger than you're right. Not a red flag yet — it's early innings on a $2K experiment — but the gap between "most accurate" and "most profitable" on Polymarket leaderboards is where ninety-nine percent of Polymarket whales discover pain.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to watch whether micro-frequency noise collection scales or collapses under its own complexity.
conservativeRisk: low