0x0C8A916647eaB58C3df8C3a422C799d62bbC23d0-1767317142854
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0x0C8A916647eaB58C3df8C3a422C799d62bbC23d0-1767317142854 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$366 PnL, $64.9K total volume, a 22.6% win rate, and activity across 1045 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
You open the wallet, expect a whale with some edge, and find someone down $365 with a 22.6% win rate. The 0x0C8A916647eaB58C3df8C3a422C799d62bbC23d0 Polymarket trader has made over 1,000 trades — and lost more than $365 against deposits of $1,122. This is the reality check for anyone thinking Polymarket is easy money.
This Polymarket trader ranks outside the top 2.5 million and is a "diversified" type — meaning they threw $5-15 at hundreds of markets without a clear edge. Their core statistical sin: a win rate of 22.6% across 1,045 markets and 1,008 trades. For context, you'd need roughly a 22.6% win rate on binary markets just to break even after fees. This is negative EV grinding.
The proof is punishing. Their best single trade on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET netted $98. Their worst: a loss of $176 on a single Bitcoin direction bet — nearly 50% of their entire current portfolio. They average 5.3 trades per day, buying 4x more than selling. That's a classic "buying yes on everything" pattern — retail chasing price action on micro-moves.
What separates them from 99% of degens? Nothing good. Their edge is absent — data shows emotional betting on directional noise rather than structural mispricing. Medium risk level with max loss $365.6 bigger than max win. The drawdown isn't a question, it's a feature.
Right now, this wallet shows 4 open positions worth $392 with zero USDC balance. The $529 in withdrawals suggest partial capitulation. Caveat: no one trades 1,045 markets by accident — this is either a bot testing strategies, or a degen who hasn't realized they're the product.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru and compare to actual Polymarket whales who preserve capital with 70%+ win rates. Then decide which side of the retail food chain you want to be on.
diversifiedRisk: medium