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-....- is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$419 PnL, $28.7K total volume, a 60.9% win rate, and activity across 47 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Opened the wallet expecting a whale, saw a 24-trade experiment with a -$418.6 PnL and a 60.9% win rate — and somehow this -....- Polymarket trader's story is more interesting than most 6-figure degens.
Identity: Ranked #2,837,981, this is the definition of a casual. Diversified, medium risk, averaging 0.4 trades per day. Position size? Tiny — about $98 per bet. This isn't a whale; this is a smart guy with a side hobby.
Strategy: He's not predicting, he's trading the narrative. His biggest scalp was on Toy Story 5's box office odds — cashing in $400.8 on a single movie market. His worst mistake? The Fed. He lost $325.7 on an interest rate call. That's the whole game: entertainment over macro.
Proof: 24 total positions, 47 markets touched, and a buy/sell ratio of 1.58. He buys more than he sells, which screams "conviction" until you see the win rate.
He's a contrarian noise farmer. Retail chases headlines; he buys the silly stuff — movie box office, pop culture — and avoids the Fed chaos he can't predict. That's his edge: knowing what he doesn't know.
Now: He's sitting on 1 open position, portfolio value at $576, down 1.46% ROI. Looks like free money until you realize he's losing $418 total. He survives because his stakes are small — not everyone survives the drawdown from a $418.6 loss rate.
This isn't a leaderboard whale, but it's a perfect case study in Polymarket wallet analytics: when the wins are 4x bigger than the losses, you don't need a high hit rate. Track this wallet on Predicts.guru and see if his Toy Story thesis holds — or check the top Polymarket traders list for actual alpha.
diversifiedRisk: medium