holdr
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holdr is a Polymarket wallet profile with $3.2K PnL, $1.4M total volume, a 99.1% win rate, and activity across 325 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
holdr (0x095704be156ec4e353110a82cc584b1173a25db6) is a Polymarket trader who runs 99.1% win rate on 288 trades across 325 markets — but somehow sits -72% ROI on $20k deposited.
This is the evolution nobody talks about. holdr is a Polymarket whale in trader type, rank 28230, averaging 4.8 trades per day with surgical discipline: low risk profile, $1.6k avg entry, 71.5% buy-heavy bias. The wallet screams precision. Then you check the math. $3.2K PnL on $20,207 total deposits means the house edge ate him alive despite nearly flawless execution. His best trade — Highest temperature in Wellington on March 27? — netted $269. His worst never fully liquidated. That's not skill. That's noise.
The edge hack: holdr farms low-volatility prediction markets with tiny odds spreads. He's not chasing 10x shots. He's grinding $200-300 wins on temperature, sports minutiae, niche political calls where he reads the room better than randoms. 325 markets traded means he's a generalist, not a specialist — testing thesis across weather, sports, micro-events. Win rate of 99.29% doesn't happen on luck or size; he's picking high-conviction, low-variance spots. But the Polymarket wallet analytics reveal the cruel truth: fees, slippage, and the structural rake on small positions compound into death by a thousand cuts.
Current state: $5.6k portfolio value on a $20k wallet. Three open positions. Zero withdrawals means he's reinvesting losses, doubling down on a math that's already broken. This is the evolution from degen to disciplined micro-grinder to... stuck. He's too good to quit, not good enough to win.
Check his live activity on Predicts.guru to watch how prediction market analytics expose the gap between win rate and actual Polymarket PnL — because holdr proves that beating the market 99% of the time can still mean you're losing.
whaleRisk: low