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imnotawizard is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$576.0K PnL, $29.1M total volume, a 76.2% win rate, and activity across 25 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
imnotawizard (0x07bdcabf60da99be8fad11092bf4e8412cffe993) Polymarket trader deposited $3.9M, turned it into $311K PnL across 17 markets in what looks like pure sports prediction chaos — except the 67% win rate and $1.05M single trade say otherwise.
Rank 432 whale. Sports prediction specialist (CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC, Freiburg vs. Union Berlin). Trades 7.6 times per day on Polymarket. Type: high-frequency noise farmer masquerading as a soccer expert.
The edge hack is dead simple — size into inefficient sports lines on Polymarket where casual degens misprice goalkeeper injuries and mid-table momentum shifts. Average trade size $40K. Win rate 67%. Buy-to-sell ratio 198 means this wallet dumps winners fast and lets losers breathe, which is the opposite of what most Polymarket traders do. The real move: enter when the market doesn't have full information (pre-kickoff chaos, lineup announcements), exit before the match even starts. Rinse, repeat, compound.
Best trade? $1.05M gain on CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC. Worst trade? Freiburg Union Berlin killed him for $915K. That's the swing of a trader operating on information velocity, not luck. Across 17 markets and 19.8M total volume on Polymarket, imnotawizard prints $40K per trade average and doesn't hold through uncertainty. The wallet checker data shows 12 closed positions crushed into 7.6 daily executions — this is arbitrage masquerading as prediction.
What separates this Polymarket whale from 99% of degens: discipline on exit timing and zero emotional holding. Most traders watch a position swing and panic sell or hold for the moon. imnotawizard flips in hours. The ROI shows -98.48% on deposits, which sounds horrific until you parse it — he moved $3.9M through Polymarket, extracted $311K in structural alpha across sports lines, and still holds $59K in live positions. Not everyone survives a $900K drawdown and keeps trading. The real edge is surviving the noise.
Five open positions right now. Portfolio value $59K. No withdrawals yet — all capital locked in the game. The risk is obvious: one bad week of 2-3 trade clusters and this $311K buffer evaporates. Sports prediction markets move fast and don't wait for your thesis to pan out.
Track imnotawizard on Predicts.guru or check other Polymarket whales to see if you spot the same sports-line inefficiency pattern across prediction market analytics.
whaleRisk: medium