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Trader Overview
UR01 (0x079e15961cbf026546d8068aed05121815ec8254) Polymarket trader torched $33k on a single NBA bet — yet somehow still swings $4k per trade across 77 different markets like a specialist searching for the one edge that sticks.
UR01 is a medium-risk whale bleeding capital on Polymarket. Ranked #2,497,978, this trader has burned through $21,982 in total PnL across 79 trades (52.63% win rate) over months of grinding. The math is brutal: $174,900 deposited, only $87,081 withdrawn, leaving -32.89% ROI on deposits. Yet the wallet stays live, still hunting.
The strategy reads like disciplined category coverage masking a deeper problem. UR01 trades 2–3 times per day, averaging $4,059 per entry at 0.61 entry price — solid position sizing for a whale. They hit Knicks vs. Hornets (2026-03-26) for $20,700 profit, the kind of win that proves they can read a market. Then they swung the opposite direction on 76ers vs. Hornets (2026-03-28) and lost $33,888.748 in one catastrophic position — a 1.6x drawdown on the best win. That's not variance. That's revenge trading.
The edge: none visible on the surface. 77 markets traded suggests diversity chasing, not specialization. Buy-to-sell ratio of 7.8 means they're long-biased and slow to cut, which Polymarket punishes in noisy prediction markets. The Polymarket wallet analytics show two open positions still bleeding. This is not a Polymarket leaderboard performer — this is someone with capital and loose discipline watching it evaporate in real time.
Currently sitting on $30,301 portfolio value with $2 open positions. The wallet hasn't gone dark, which means conviction or stubbornness. Every Polymarket whale thinks they'll recover on the next big swing. Most don't.
Track UR01 on Predicts.guru's Polymarket wallet checker and study the gap between their best single win and worst single loss — that's the real lesson for prediction market analytics.
whaleRisk: medium