77603dad7edbb9a2775c529
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77603dad7edbb9a2775c529 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$31.5K PnL, $2.3M total volume, a 76.2% win rate, and activity across 134 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
77603dad7edbb9a2775c529 Polymarket trader took a brutal 31.7K hit despite crushing 76.2% win rate — the textbook whale evolution from noise farmer to geopolitical gambler eating catastrophic single-trade losses.
This is rank 2.6M on Polymarket but the stats scream someone who knows prediction markets. 146 total trades across 134 different markets over ~4 months, averaging 1.2 trades per day. The wallet shows classic whale behavior: $235K deposited, only $201K withdrawn, sitting on a negative -$31.5K PnL with -14% ROI. But here's what separates him from pure degeneracy — 76.2% win rate on Polymarket means he's picking winners more often than he's losing.
The edge is pattern recognition mixed with heavy position concentration. His best single trade? A $22.2K win on the Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August prediction. Clean entry, obvious edge, banked it. Then one position destroyed him — the Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31 market turned into a $31.5K loss. That single trade wiped out all profits and then some. This is the evolution every Polymarket whale faces: 68% accuracy feels safe until one geopolitical certainty flips.
Currently holding 4 open positions with $459 in active portfolio value — meaning most capital is either withdrawn or locked in losses. The buy/sell ratio of 3.1 tells you he's holding conviction positions longer than he's exiting them, which works great for trending prediction markets but turns toxic in tail events. Average entry price of 0.79 suggests he's mostly betting on outcomes that feel probable, not chasing lottery tickets.
Risk level tagged low but his max single loss of $61.5K against $22.2K max win shows asymmetric exposure — typical Polymarket whale trap where discipline on 146 small trades gets nuked by one conviction bet. The withdrawal pattern ($33.7K net transfers out) hints he's actively managing this wallet, trying to recover.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru to track whether he's shifted to true edge plays or if he's still stacking geopolitical bets against sharp movers.
whaleRisk: medium