Who will win the debate according to polls?

Who will win the debate according to polls? This Polymarket event resolved based on post-debate opinion polling from Ipsos and 538 following the September 10, 2024 ABC-hosted debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. The market tracked which candidate would be rated as the debate winner or better performer in the first official Ipsos/538 poll released after the event concluded. The market has now resolved with YES at 100 percent and NO at 0 percent, indicating a clear outcome according to the specified polling methodology. Total trading volume reached 1.6 million dollars, reflecting active participation in this prediction market analysis. The resolution followed the market's stated criteria: whichever candidate polled higher on the question of debate performance would determine the outcome, with a 50-50 split if results tied. Had the debate been cancelled or not occurred by September 17, 2024, the market would have resolved 50-50 as well. If Ipsos/538 had not released timely polling, YouGov data would have served as the backup source. Current market data shows the final price settlement and historical trading volume. Liquidity information is not available in this summary view. Polymarket analytics on individual holder positions, smart money signals, whale concentration, and wallet age are not included in this fast-page generation but load separately on the full analytics page when available. This resolved event provides historical reference for how prediction markets price debate outcomes and how crowd opinion compares to formal polling results. Deeper on-page analytics tables offer additional context once holder and wallet metrics finish loading. This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.