Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

This Polymarket event, Which coalition will form the next Dutch government, directly addresses the outcome of the 2025 Dutch general election scheduled for October 29, 2025. For users searching for a prediction market forecast on this topic, the selected market asks: Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21? As of the current data, the odds for this specific outcome are extremely low, with a YES price of 0.0% and a NO price of 100.0%. This implies a 0% probability that the PVV and JA21 parties will form the next ruling coalition based on current market sentiment. The event was created on Polymarket on October 13, 2025, and its prediction market status is currently resolved or inactive, with minimum liquidity of $4.4K and substantial total volume of $70.4M across its related markets. This prediction market analysis page provides a full view of the Polymarket analytics for the PVV + JA21 coalition scenario. Users can observe the implied probability, YES price, and NO price, which currently show a complete market consensus against this outcome. The volume and liquidity figures are displayed, alongside the market status and key dates, including the event start date of October 15, 2025, and the end date of October 31, 2026. When the page is fully loaded, the on-site odds and price movement charts will show historical shifts in market sentiment. However, for fast generation purposes, specific top holder data, whale activity, smart money signals, and fresh wallet concentration are not included. Wallet age and profit and loss distribution details are also unavailable in this summary. Because this is a fast generation of event analytics, the deeper metrics that traders often rely on, such as top YES holders, top NO holders, and average entry price, are not provided. This page does not currently show whale concentration levels or smart money signal scores. To analyze the concentration of fresh wallets or the distribution of PnL among participants, users will need to use the on-page analytics tables and holder breakdowns once they load fully. The current data simply reflects a settled market state with a zero percent probability assigned to the PVV + JA21 option. For practical, neutral analysis, the resolution of this market will be determined by the first official coalition announced after the election. The rules specify that a party must sign the coalition agreement and provide at least one cabinet minister. If no coalition is announced by October 31, 2026, the market resolves to a default option. The available coalition options on Polymarket include combinations like PVV + VVD, PVV + VVD + JA21, and PVV + CDA, with the current data showing no probability assigned to the PVV + JA21 pairing. To verify the current odds for all coalition options or to check for any recent price movements on the PVV + JA21 market, use the interactive tables and charts available on this page. The analytics tables provide a deeper look at holder behavior and market depth that is not covered in this overview. For the most accurate and current view of this Polymarket prediction market, including any updated resolution status or shift in implied probability, refer directly to the on-screen market data. This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.