Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

The Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April market tracks whether transit calls through one of the world's most critical shipping chokepoints will recover to normal levels. The event resolves to Yes if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls at or above 60 for any date through April 30, 2026. The resolution source is IMF Portwatch transit calls data, which includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Current market conditions show NO at 100.0% and YES at 0.1%, with $38.0M in total volume and $325.1K in available liquidity. The Strait of Hormuz traffic market is active and resolves once the threshold is met or after April 30 data is published. This Polymarket event relies on official government port data with specific publication timelines and revision rules through the resolution date. The visible market data reveals pricing consensus and total participation, but cannot show individual holder positions, whale concentration, or wallet age signals. These deeper polymarket analytics help identify market structure and timing patterns. Specific entry prices, PnL distribution, and whether YES or NO positions carry better balance are not displayed in this fast-loading overview. More granular prediction market analysis is available on the full analytics page once holder tables, smart money signals, and wallet diagnostics finish loading. Those sections provide context for understanding who holds positions and when they entered. Until then, the price and volume data shown here represent only the current state of this Hormuz shipping event on Polymarket. This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.