Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

This Polymarket event tracks whether Iran will publicly agree to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by March 31, 2026. Resolution requires an official Iranian pledge to transfer, ship, or place any portion of its enriched uranium under custody or control of entities outside Iran and its influence, whether announced unilaterally or as part of an agreement with the U.S., Israel, or within a broader peace framework. Agreements to merely limit or cap enrichment levels do not qualify. The market is currently active across four contract dates spanning April through December 2026. The NO contract trades at 100.0% while YES sits at 0.0%, reflecting market sentiment that such an agreement remains unlikely before the deadline. Total volume stands at 7.1 million dollars, with current liquidity at 271.3 thousand dollars available for trading. The visible market data reveals price consensus and trading activity but cannot show which accounts hold positions, whether large holders are accumulating or reducing exposure, or how recent smart money flows align with price movements. These deeper analytics load separately on the full page and provide context for understanding who backs each outcome and whether institutional or sophisticated traders are shifting positions. Holder concentration, wallet age signals, and smart money indicators are not included in this fast-load summary but appear in the on-page analytics tables once fully populated. For complete market analysis of this Iran uranium stockpile prediction market, check the detailed holder breakdown, smart money signals, and position flow data available through the full Polymarket analytics dashboard. This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.