Polymarket Market Analysis
AI-generatedFor traders and analysts searching for the Highest temperature in Madrid on April 24 prediction market on Polymarket, this event is now resolved with the outcome confirming that the temperature did not reach 23°C. The specific market asking "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 24?" has settled at a NO price of 100.0% and a YES price of 0.0%, indicating the resolution source from Wunderground confirmed the day's high fell outside that range.
This Polymarket event was created on April 22, 2026, and asked participants to forecast the temperature range containing the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station on April 24, 2026. The resolution source uses whole degrees Celsius from the Wunderground historical data for the station. The event included multiple markets covering temperatures from 18°C or below up to 22°C, plus the 23°C target. The selected market for 23°C closed with an implied probability of 0%, meaning no traders assigned value to that outcome by the end date of April 24, 2026.
The overall event volume reached $149.2K, reflecting active prediction market analysis across the temperature range options. The market status is resolved or inactive, with the event ending on April 24, 2026. While the exact liquidity figure is not available, the volume provides a measure of total betting interest. The odds on this selected market clearly show a 0% YES price and 100% NO price, confirming the outcome was definitively not 23°C.
This page is designed to display polymarket analytics including odds, YES price, NO price, volume, liquidity, and price movement for the selected market. In fast generation mode, details on top holders, whale activity, smart money signals, and fresh wallet concentration are not included. Similarly, average entry prices and PnL distribution data are not part of this snapshot. For deeper prediction market analysis, including order book depth and holder trends, users should refer to the on-page analytics tables which load dynamic market status information.
The resolution of this market serves as a clear example of how prediction markets can provide definitive odds and implied probability for discrete weather outcomes. The event's creation date of April 22, 2026, and its end date of April 24, 2026, show a short trading window typical of daily weather events. For those examining the forecast accuracy or seeking to understand market behavior around specific temperature thresholds, the resolved data confirms the day did not produce a 23°C high, aligning with the broader temperature outcome that must have fallen into one of the lower brackets offered.
This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.