Polymarket Market Analysis
AI-generatedThe Polymarket event titled "Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?" has resolved, with the prediction market concluding that the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station on April 3, 2026, did not reach 21°C. This outcome is reflected in the current odds for the specific market asking "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 3?", which shows the NO position at 100.0% and the YES position at 0.0%. For those tracking polymarket analytics on this event, these prices indicate the implied probability of the temperature being exactly 21°C was zero, as the market has already been settled based on finalized weather data from Wunderground.
This prediction market belongs to a broader set of five temperature range markets for the same date, covering thresholds from 20°C or below up to 28°C. The event description clarifies that resolution relies on the highest temperature recorded for the entirety of April 3, 2026, at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station. Data is sourced from Wunderground's history page, and no revisions after finalization are considered. The precision is set to whole degrees Celsius, so the 21°C market resolves based on whether the recorded high exactly matched that value. This structured resolution method provides clarity for users engaged in polymarket analytics or prediction market analysis.
The event was created on Polymarket on March 29, 2026, with the selected market for 21°C created at the same time. The event start date was March 29, 2026, and the end date was April 3, 2026, at 12:00 PM UTC. In terms of volume, this event has attracted $96.7K in trading activity, while liquidity figures are not available for this generated overview. The market status is listed as resolved or inactive, meaning no further trading is possible and the outcome is final. For reference, the category was not specified in the event data.
This page is designed to provide a prediction market analysis, including the odds, YES price, and NO price for this specific market, as well as volume and overall market status. However, in this fast SEO generation, data on top holders, whale activity, smart money signals, fresh wallet concentration, and order book details are not included. Holder data for both YES and NO positions is not part of this initial generation. Similarly, smart money signals, whale concentration metrics, fresh account risk analysis, average entry prices, and PnL distribution are not available in this preliminary view.
For a deeper check on holder distributions, wallet age signals, or real-time order book spread, users should refer to the on-page analytics tables and holder analytics once loaded. These tools provide the detailed breakdown necessary for advanced polymarket analytics, allowing you to verify whale concentration or smart money activity that is not present in this initial summary. The resolved status of this market means the price movement is historical, and the on-page tables can confirm the exact resolution details for the 21°C question.
This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.