Polymarket Market Analysis
AI-generatedFor anyone searching for Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET on Polymarket, this prediction market has resolved to "Down" with the NO price at 100.0% and the YES price at 0.0%. The event is classified as resolved or inactive, and the market is no longer accepting trades or offering active odds. This outcome means that, according to the resolution rules, the Bitcoin price at the end of that five-minute window was lower than the price at the beginning, as determined by the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream.
This Polymarket event, titled Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET, is a short-term binary forecast that asks whether Bitcoin's price would rise or fall within a specific five-minute interval on March 21. The description clarifies that the resolution source is Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream, and not other crypto exchanges or spot market prices. The market question was simple: would the price at the end of the time range be greater than or equal to the price at the start? Since the final resolution shows NO at 100.0%, the price change was negative during that period.
The selected market on Polymarket was created on March 20, 2026, at 15:46 UTC, with the event starting the same day. The event's end date was March 21, 2026, at 15:45 UTC, which aligns with the close of the five-minute prediction window. Total volume for this market reached $195.3K, while liquidity data is not available in this fast SEO generation. The implied probability at the time of resolution was 0.0% for YES and 100.0% for NO, reflecting the final settlement. The category for this event is not listed, but the market status is clearly resolved, meaning no further trading or price movement is possible.
This page provides access to Polymarket analytics for this event, including historical odds, YES and NO prices, volume, and overall market movement over time. Users can review the price chart to see how the implied probability changed leading up to resolution. The page also includes tools for deeper analysis, such as top holders, whale activity, and smart money signals, but those metrics are not included in this fast SEO generation. Specifically, holder data, whale concentration, fresh account risk, and average entry price are not part of this overview and will be visible only when the on-page analytics tables load.
For those conducting prediction market analysis on this event, the resolution data is final, but the on-page analytics tables can be used to examine holder behavior, order book depth prior to resolution, or the distribution of bets across YES and NO positions. This allows a neutral check on how market participants positioned themselves during the event's active period.
This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.