Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

If you are searching for the Polymarket event "Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET," this prediction market has already been resolved. The market asked whether the Bitcoin price, as measured by the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, would move up or down during a specific fifteen-minute window. According to the final outcome, the price at the end of the range was lower than the price at the beginning, resulting in a "Down" resolution. This page provides a factual overview of that market's status and final odds. The event, titled "Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET," is a short-term binary prediction market focused on the direction of Bitcoin's price. The selected market question specifically asked if Bitcoin would be "Up" or "Down" between 4:15 AM and 4:30 AM Eastern Time on March 26, 2026. The description clarifies that the market's resolution relied solely on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream available at data.chain.link, not on other spot market prices. This is a common format for Polymarket events that track rapid price movements over short time frames. Looking at the timeline, the event itself was created on Polymarket on March 25, 2026, at 08:22 UTC. The selected market for that 15-minute window was also created at the same time. The market became active for trading shortly after its creation, with a start date of March 25, 2026, at 08:24 UTC, and it resolved after the target window closed, with an end date of March 26, 2026, at 08:30 UTC. The event status is listed as resolved or inactive, meaning no further trading is possible on this outcome. The final prices for the selected market show a YES price of 0.0% and a NO price of 100.0%. This means the implied probability of a "Down" outcome was 100% at the time of resolution, and the implied probability of an "Up" outcome was 0%. Volume and liquidity data for this market are not available in this fast summary, as the market has settled and those metrics are no longer being updated in this view. The category for the event was also not recorded. This analytics page is designed to give you a quick view of key prediction market analysis data for this specific event. When fully loaded, the page will display the final odds, the YES price and NO price history, and the resolution status you see here. You can use the on-page tables to examine deeper data points such as top holders, whale activity, smart money signals, fresh wallet concentration, and order book spread history. However, please be aware that in this fast SEO generation, holder data, whale concentration, smart money signals, fresh account risk, average entry prices, and profit and loss distribution are not included. For a complete breakdown of trader behavior and wallet-level activity on this resolved Polymarket market, refer to the interactive holder analytics and wallet age signals available in the tables on this page. This AI-generated analysis is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. The site owner and author are not responsible for decisions, losses, or actions based on this text. Verify market data independently.