Loading wallet statistics...
0xEF14B870b532647F29354Ff24476d7bD5FF7C335-1767604346204 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $61.7K PnL, $213.9K total volume, a 50.0% win rate, and activity across 7 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as high and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xEF14B870b532647F29354Ff24476d7bD5FF7C335 Polymarket trader just turned $214k volume into $61.7k pure PnL by betting Iran's political future wrong, then right — a 28.87% ROI masterclass in conviction timing that feels insane until you see the math.
Meet the wallet: rank 2360, diversified trader, seven total trades across seven different markets. The stats scream calculated risk — 50% win rate, but when this Polymarket trader wins, they win big. Single best trade dropped $70k profit on the Khamenei February prediction (same market they got torched on in January for -$7.1k). That's not luck. That's doubling down on a thesis after the market reprices it.
The edge is pure Polymarket conviction play. Average entry price of $0.206 means they're buying deep uncertainty — retail noise positions where most traders panic-exit. They hold. Six days later the narrative shifts, odds swing 30-40%, exit at $0.42+. Repeat. This trader does roughly one trade every five days, intentional and selective, not chasing volume. Polymarket wallet analytics show they're cherry-picking high-volatility geopolitical markets (Iran, political outcomes), the kind where daily headlines move odds but underlying event probability doesn't.
The real weapon: buy-sell ratio of 10 to 1. They're not scalping. They accumulate positions at despair prices and let conviction do the work. Three open positions right now — they're still holding some of those geopolitical bets. Current portfolio value sits at $336 (position-wise), but that's illiquid exposure on markets that could swing 50% week-to-week. High risk level is not a label here, it's the business model.
Risk caveat: this strategy works until it doesn't. One misread on Iran policy, one unexpected regime stability play, one black swan event and the $70k win evaporates into the $7k loss they already ate. They've had losses. They take them. But the asymmetry right now is ugly if geopolitical volatility dries up — which it won't, but execution risk on exit liquidity is real.
Currently holding three markets. Still building conviction. This is what a Polymarket whale looks like when they pick a category and refuse to diversify — ruthless focus on prediction market edge in a single domain. Track this wallet on Predicts.guru or check other top Polymarket traders to see if the thesis holds through the next regime shock.
diversifiedRisk: high