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davinnn is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$357 PnL, $34.4K total volume, a 49.9% win rate, and activity across 2580 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
davinvarian (0x8202d0d1248586f853a6eebf23d3f3243ffb80b8) Polymarket trader burned 28% of his stack chasing 5-minute Bitcoin micro-trades at a clip of 66 trades per day — and somehow still has 13 open positions sweating it out.
Meet davinvarian, rank 1,989,200 across all Polymarket traders. Diversified in name only. This wallet screams high-frequency noise farmer: 107 total trades across 78 different markets, average position size under $1.50, entry price locked at 0.66 — the classic sign of a retail scalper betting on intraday volatility instead of edge. Win rate sits at 47.9%, which is honest-to-god worse than a coin flip. Total PnL is -$78.75 on a starting deposit of $290.51. That's a -28.11% ROI unfolding in real time.
The wallet structure tells the real story. davinvarian deposited $290, already withdrew $73, and now sits on $135 portfolio value. The buy-sell ratio of 4.37 means he's constantly cycling capital, chasing rebounds, panic entering on wicks. His best trade netted $32.43 on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET. His worst trade lost $26.99 on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET. Same market. Five minutes apart. This is not trading — it's slot machine behavior scaled to 66 actions daily.
What separates davinvarian from 99% of losing prediction market traders? Nothing. He's the 99%. Low risk designation means small position sizes, which actually just means slow-motion liquidation instead of dramatic blowup. The edge hack here is recognizing when there is no edge: diversified account, tiny entries, sub-50% win rate, and a bleeding balance sheet all point to someone fighting noise instead of pattern. The draws on portfolio value from $290 to $135 show the math doesn't compound — it erodes.
Currently holding 13 positions across markets he probably can't articulate the thesis on. The Polymarket whale tracker shows this as a warning flag, not a goldmine. Check his wallet on Predicts.guru to see how the next week plays out — or better yet, use it as a case study in what sub-52% win rates actually cost you.
diversifiedRisk: medium