Elaran1993
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Elaran1993 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$115.2K PnL, $1.2M total volume, a 40.8% win rate, and activity across 74 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
Opened the wallet expecting a loner — saw a 40.8% win rate with a -$115.2K PNL. Elaran1993 Polymarket trader is the most confusing profile you'll see this week.
IDENTITY: Elaran1993 (0xb7271c112cbd83eb4c1ef1b554ff963604ae2a9d). Ranked 3,074,942. Sniper type. Sports matchups — MLB, NBA, the whole noise spectrum.
STRATEGY: Farms live odds like a market-making bot. Pays up for the favorite, right after the line shifts. Then holds through the countdown. Sounds basic. It's not.
PROOF: The numbers hide the story. 9 trades, 6 closed, 40.8% win rate. Best hit: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros (2026-08-12) — that one printed +$19,082 in a single snap. Worst loss? Wait for it — +$1,436. Yes, the "worst" was still green. He's up on every closed position but down $74k total. The losses are all sitting open right now. -$115.2K in the red on $1.2M volume, with 40.8% win rate on closed markets. He's 18x more buys than sells, so he only rides one direction — up.
EDGE: His real trick is volatility reaction. He's not picking winners; he's picking when the crowd overpays for consensus. The buysellratio of 18 means he's entering on heavy momentum in the final hours. But here's the catch: it works until the market closes. His open positions are bleeding -$115.2K — that Toronto hit feels like a fluke when you see 74 markets running him over.
NOW: 54 positions open, $14k portfolio, $136k deposited — zero withdrawals. He's betting $5k per trade on average, and the 40.8% win rate is real but the drawdown is realer. Rookie exit discipline. He'll die a hero or a zero. Deposit to wallet value ratio says he's yolo'd 10x what he has left.
CTA: Check this wallet on Predicts.guru — or scroll the Polymarket leaderboard to see why 40.8% win rate doesn't mean you're a whale. Top Polymarket traders survive drawdowns; Elaran1993 just survives until the next game.
whaleRisk: medium