c4c4
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c4c4 is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$1.2M PnL, $69.0M total volume, a 81.5% win rate, and activity across 7258 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
c4c4 Polymarket trader: crypto bot running 289 trades per day with 81.5% win rate, yet somehow down $906k on $69M volume. The paradox nobody's talking about.
Name's c4c4, rank 2,155,401 on the Polymarket leaderboard. Trader type is literally "crypto_bot" — this isn't a human scalping noise. The stats read like science fiction at first glance: 550 total trades, 81.5% win rate, $7,500 best single trade. Then you see the bottom line. Negative -$1.2M PnL. ROI of -2.17%. Portfolio sitting at $319,978 with 3,096 open positions still bleeding.
Here's the strategy: ultra-high-frequency order flow capture across 4,487 different markets. c4c4 executes 289 trades per day — that's one bet every five minutes during market hours, average size $523 per trade. The bot isn't trying to predict Madrid beating Atletico or Villanova's spread movement. It's farming the 1-2% microslips between entry and exit, the noise that humans miss. Buy at 0.468, sell at 0.471. Repeat 550 times. The 81.5% win rate confirms it: this is mechanical arbitrage, not fundamental edge.
But here's what breaks the narrative: $41.6M in total volume with negative six figures in PnL means the bot is leaking money on slippage, fees, or worse — it's hitting resistance on liquidity that evaporates during exits. Buy 500 units at market, the bid vanishes. The best trade netted $7,500 on Madrid's February match. The worst lost $1,987 on Villanova. That -$1,987 hit tells the real story: when the bot misjudges depth or gets caught on the wrong side of a flush, it bleeds hard and fast.
What separates c4c4 from 99% of bots: relentless market sampling. 7,258 markets traded means this isn't a focused thesis — it's a noise harvester. The bot fires everywhere, collects micro-edges, and relies on scale. Win rate of 88% should print money. Instead it's a cautionary tale about infrastructure: execution speed, slippage modeling, and bet sizing when you're competing against other bots.
Right now c4c4 holds 3,096 open positions with only 50 closed. That's a bot still grinding, still executing, still underwater. Portfolio value $319k with $906k in cumulative losses suggests deposits got crushed or withdrawals already happened. The risk level is medium, but for a bot losing 2.17% ROI on 550 trades, "medium" is generous — this looks like death by a thousand cuts.
whaleRisk: medium