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Marja is a Polymarket wallet profile with $94 PnL, $15.5K total volume, a 17.6% win rate, and activity across 41 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
Marja (0x0c2514bafeff4addbfdb5c5aee48e12c8dd72d4d) Polymarket trader turned $10.5k volume into $629 portfolio in pure diversified churn — 28% win rate, zero focus, all noise.
Rank 214,668. Diversified dabbler. 34 markets traded across every category imaginable, averaging $97 per trade. The wallet screams: "I'm trying everything." And it shows.
Here's the actual edge hack — there isn't one. Marja trades everything. Sports, politics, crypto, weather predictions, whatever pops into feed. 34 different markets, 34 different thesis narratives. That's not edge. That's slot machine pulling. Win rate sits at 28% (translation: loses 7 out of 10 bets), ROI at 0.92% after $10k+ in volume. The portfolio currently holds $629 across 9 open positions while sitting on $96 cumulative PnL. Math check: you need 108x better execution to break even at these rates.
The data itself tells the real story. Best single trade hit $137 on Vikings vs. Rams (2025-01-14). Worst trade bled $126 on Pelicans vs. Bulls (2025-01-15). Swings that massive on $97 average position size means zero position management. No stops. No thesis conviction. Just yolo entry, pray for pump, close at first flinch.
What separates this from 99% degens? Nothing good. The buy-sell ratio of 1.85 suggests bag-holding losers while panic-selling winners. Trades-per-day rate of 0.1 means Marja checks in maybe once a week, probably after the damage is already baked in. Medium risk tolerance sounds reasonable until you realize the wallet can't handle even moderate volatility on these micro positions.
Currently holding 9 open positions out of 34 total markets. Portfolio value $629. This is what happens when you have conviction about nothing and conviction about everything simultaneously. The Polymarket leaderboard doesn't highlight this profile because there's no consistent edge to highlight — just incremental cash bleed dressed up as "diversification."
Track Marja and similar scattered wallets on Predicts.guru to see how this plays out, but spoiler: retail diversification on prediction markets kills PnL faster than concentration ever could.
diversifiedRisk: medium