Loading wallet statistics...
0xcrag is a Polymarket wallet profile with $10.7K PnL, $645.5K total volume, a 37.4% win rate, and activity across 190 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that deposited $4.2K, survived a 37% win rate and a brutal -$1,020 loss on an Iran strike bet, and still walked away with $10.6K in Polymarket PnL.
That wallet is 0xcrag — a diversified Polymarket trader currently ranked #11,737, not a whale but a resilient grinder who proves volume doesn't equal edge. 182 trades across 190 markets, with a 37.42% win rate that would make most degens tilt off the face of the earth. Yet his 58.54% ROI on deposits and $10.6K total PnL tell a different story: he doesn't need to be right most of the time, he needs to be right when it matters.
His strategy is math over gut — small average trade size ($287), spread across high-noise events like Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by...? (his best trade, +$1,933). The edge? He doesn't chase narratives; he farms noise. That 0.5 buy-sell ratio means he's selling into hype more than buying — classic contrarian discipline.
Proof is brutal and honest: his worst trade was -$1,020 on US strikes Iran by...?, a single loss that wiped out 25% of his deposit. But he lived to trade another day. With only 0.5 trades per day and a medium risk level, this isn't a bot or a degen ape — it's a manual player who treats Polymarket like a grind, not a lottery.
Currently holding 12 open positions with a $3.1K portfolio, he's still alive. The realism? A 37% win rate looks like death on paper, but disciplined sizing and letting winners ride turns it into alpha.
Want to see if 0xcrag keeps this up? Track his wallet on Predicts.guru — or check other top Polymarket traders who actually survive the drawdown.
diversifiedRisk: medium