Jarvisen
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Jarvisen is a Polymarket wallet profile with $87.3K PnL, $10.9M total volume, a 60.0% win rate, and activity across 27870 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet that deposited $298K, has a -99.85% ROI, yet still holds 5 open positions and shows a 60% win rate on closed trades — meet Jarvisen, the Polymarket trader who turned millions in volume into a masterclass in how "win rate" can be a total mirage.
Jarvisen, ranked #2810, is a Polymarket whale who has traded 27,870 markets, making him a high-frequency, high-volume degen in the prediction market sandbox. His strategy? Noise collection on an industrial scale. He's not guessing who wins the election — he's farming the 5-minute Bitcoin up/down windows (Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET (2026-07-24)), where his average entry is just $0.40 per contract. The edge: math over gut, script over sweat. He buys at deep discounts and sells into the noise, scalping tiny spreads thousands of times. His best single trade? A $1,087 win on that 5-minute BTC window — not life-changing, but repeated across 60 positions, it adds up. But here's the kicker: his 60%% win rate is pristine on closed trades, yet he's down 99.85% on deposits because his open positions are underwater. The 2,500 buy/sell ratio reveals he's almost exclusively a buyer — he buys the dip until it dips him into the red.
What separates Jarvisen from 99% of degens isn't his PnL — it's his discipline. He's not chasing a home run. He grinds the most absurd micro-markets, treating Polymarket like a high-frequency trading desk. But the -99.85% ROI on deposits is a cold hard warning: "looks like free money until you realize the market is bigger than your wallet." Right now, with 60 open bets and a portfolio of just {portfolio_value}, the drawdown is real. This isn't a profile for copy-trading — it's a profile for understanding that Polymarket whales sometimes drown.
Track Jarvisen's wallet and other top traders at Predicts.guru to see who's actually printing — and who's just printing a "60% win rate" losing story.
whaleRisk: medium