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elkmonkey is a Polymarket wallet profile with $502.7K PnL, $215.5M total volume, a 43.5% win rate, and activity across 13449 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
elkmonkey (0xead152b855effa6b5b5837f53b24c0756830c76a) Polymarket trader dumped $117M in volume across 9,349 markets and walked away down $1.5M — the textbook whale who confused activity for edge.
Name: elkmonkey. Rank 2281353. Whale-tier volume, retail-level discipline. 271 total trades, 46.8% win rate, -129% ROI. This is what happens when you treat Polymarket like a slot machine with better UX.
The move sounds insane until you see the mechanics. elkmonkey spreads $117.8M volume across nearly 10k different markets — betting on everything from soccer matches to micro-outcomes. Buy sell ratio of 2500 screams reactive, not proactive. Average entry at 0.506 means he's chasing halfway-through moves, catching falling knives, rotating into noise. The edge? There isn't one. Just pure volume hoping something sticks.
Numbers tell the story. Best trade hit $66.3k on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?. Worst trade bled $27.3k on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?. Still sitting on 221 open positions — portfolio value $328k — which means he's bagholding hard, waiting for reversals that won't come. Polymarket PnL doesn't forgive unfocused traders.
What separates him from better prediction market performers? Everything. Top Polymarket traders obsess over 5-10 theses and compound edges. elkmonkey is doing the opposite — spray and pray across 9k markets hoping variance swings his way. His buy-sell ratio suggests he's panic-rotating, not executing conviction trades. Win rate below 47% means he's picking wrong more than right. No coherent Polymarket strategy, just deep pockets and shallow patience.
Current state: 221 open positions, bleeding slowly. Medium risk rating masks the real risk — running out of dry powder while waiting for a dead portfolio to resurrect. This is how whale accounts die on prediction markets — not blowups, just slow erosion from bad process dressed up as diversification. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
crypto botRisk: medium