RN1ML
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RN1ML is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$252 PnL, $27.6K total volume, a 31.2% win rate, and activity across 204 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
RN1ML Polymarket trader started with $593 and turned it into a -$251 lesson in why diversification kills edge on prediction markets.
RN1ML is a rank 2,413,885 diversified trader who touches everything — 204 markets, 202 total trades, 5.6 trades per day. The wallet screams volume over conviction. Win rate sits at 31.2%, ROI at negative 50.05%, portfolio value now $2.46. This is not a whale. This is a case study in why chasing signal across too many markets leaves you broke.
The strategy reads like a new trader's first month on Polymarket: spray bets everywhere, hope something sticks. 73 open positions against only 129 closed ones tells you he's still loading. Average entry price of 0.43 means buying dips most of the time, chasing recoveries. Buy-to-sell ratio of 9.4:1 confirms it — he's a taker of the long side, averaging $6.24 per trade. This isn't strategy. This is noise collection with a slight long bias.
The proof is in the two trades that matter. Best win was $123 on a silver (SI) prediction market — a commodity play that randomly worked. Worst loss was $37.99 on an Elon tweet count prediction, a category where retail dies consistently. The spread between wins and losses is tight ($123 vs $37 losses), which tells you he's not sizing up winners or cutting losers hard enough. He's grinding out small edge trades that barely cover the spread before commissions crush him.
What separates RN1ML from worse traders? Nothing obvious. What separates him from winning Polymarket traders? Actual edge. He has zero. Diversification is a hedge in stocks; on prediction markets it's laziness. Real prediction market analytics show that every top Polymarket whale trades 2–5 categories max and owns them. RN1ML owns nothing.
Current state: 73 open positions, bleeding slowly. Total deposits of $593, withdrawals of $293 — he's burning through his stack trying to dig out. The daily rate of 5.6 trades per day at -50% ROI means he's losing roughly $52 per day in raw PnL terms. This isn't a Polymarket wallet checker moment. This is a "pull the plug" moment unless he cuts the portfolio from 204 markets to 5.
Track this wallet's evolution on Predicts.guru and watch how Polymarket leaderboard climbers actually operate — spoiler, not like this.
diversifiedRisk: medium