0xCbD9eb34522fC128dc68e23E49A26836492CAD53-1771885067329
Loading wallet statistics...
0xCbD9eb34522fC128dc68e23E49A26836492CAD53-1771885067329 is a Polymarket wallet profile with $104 PnL, $10.5K total volume, a 91.1% win rate, and activity across 802 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
0xCbD9eb34522fC128dc68e23E49A26836492CAD53 Polymarket trader started with micro-stakes and has already flipped $104.4 PnL across 802 markets — with a win rate that makes most whales look like they're guessing blindfolded.
This is trader #174909 on the Polymarket leaderboard, pure conservative category. Small positions, high frequency, absurd consistency. Not a degen — a spreadsheet that happens to bet on weather.
Strategy: tiny position sizes (avg $2.14), massive volume of trades. He's running 82.6 trades per day. This is not human decision-making — it's a bot or script farming micro-edges on low-volatility binary events. The edge hack? Instead of chasing big narratives like election odds, he scalps temperature predictions for $8 max wins and $0.08 max losses. Risk is completely managed through position sizing.
Proof: His best trade was on Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 14? netting $8.00 — his win rate sits at 91.1%%. Worst loss? A whopping $0.08 on a Munich temperature miss. This trader has never taken a real hit. His buy/sell ratio of 3.23 confirms he aggressively fills the ask when his edge appears.
Edge that separates him from 99% of degens: He understands that prediction markets with clear resolution criteria and low volatility are just arbitrage opportunities. No gut, no Twitter hype, no narrative. Pure math on temperature and binary outcomes. His average entry at $0.77 means he's not buying tails — he buys the median outcome knowing it'll converge.
Current positions: 317 open right now. Portfolio sits at $36.69. Risk realistic — this strategy works until a fat-tail weather event blows through his tiny edge. Not everyone survives when a freak heatwave breaks 50 micro-bets at once.
Track this wallet on Predicts.guru to see if the consistency holds, or check the Polymarket wallet analytics for other traders farming noise better than you.
conservativeRisk: low