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button-clicker is a Polymarket wallet profile with $49.9K PnL, $461.7K total volume, a 60.7% win rate, and activity across 189 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as medium and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
reedh (0xcb511a62cd64f8ba9071d4b5bafa985f6729d2f5) Polymarket trader turned $4,933 into $3,259 in under a month — 86% win rate that somehow delivers -33.94% ROI, the most brutal paradox in prediction market analytics.
reedh sits at rank 5510 on the Polymarket leaderboard as a self-described conservative trader, but the wallet tells a different story: 129 total trades across 127 markets, averaging 7.3 trades per day, with a portfolio value that's quietly collapsing despite winning the majority of bets. This is what happens when you're right more than you're wrong but wrong bets hit harder than right ones.
The edge here is noise collection and high frequency. reedh treats Polymarket like a scalp farm — rapid micro-positions on everything from Bucks vs. Thunder (2026-02-13) (netted $3,772.35, his best single trade) to 126 other markets. Average entry price of 0.60 suggests buying dips in secondary markets nobody watches. Average trade size of $265 means he's chasing volume and volatility, not conviction. The buy-to-sell ratio of 318 shows someone accumulating more than closing, which is dangerous in a market with uncertain liquidity on exit.
Here's where it breaks: win rate means nothing without position sizing discipline. reedh's worst trade on Pelicans vs. 76ers (2026-02-01) cost him -$1,487.99 — a single loss that wipes 4+ winners. He's running 43 open positions right now, which is chaos masquerading as diversification. That's not hedging, that's gambling with better odds than a casino offers.
The real risk: he's never withdrawn. Zero exits. All $4,933 deposited, portfolio value down 34%, and he's still holding 43 open trades. This screams either stubborn conviction or analysis paralysis. Polymarket PnL looks brutal when you're trapped in a drawdown with no exit strategy, and his conservative trader tag doesn't match the frenetic pace. Check this wallet on Predicts.guru or a Polymarket wallet checker to see if he's still averaging 7+ trades daily or if the drawdown finally forced discipline.
conservativeRisk: medium