strait-of-hormuz-
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strait-of-hormuz- is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$14.3K PnL, $444.5K total volume, a 40.0% win rate, and activity across 15 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader overview
One wallet with $100K in deposits but a measly $14K left — this strait-of-hormuz- Polymarket trader turned $97,717 into -$14.3K PnL across only 10 trades, a brutal -14.63% ROI that proves even the "diversified" label on low risk can be a trap.
Identity: strait-of-hormuz- is ranked #3,049,736 — bottom-tier on the Polymarket leaderboard. The trader type is diversified, spanning 15 markets with a low risk level. Yet the Polymarket wallet analytics tell a grim story: net transfers sit at $14,295, but the trader is underwater.
Strategy: They spread small bets across trending new launches and public sales, averaging $359 per trade. The edge hack? None visible — this looks like a novice throwing darts at release dates, not a whale. A check Polymarket wallet query shows 40% win rate, with the best trade on Backpack FDV above _ one day after launch? netting $3,282 (their max single win). But the worst — Total commitments for the Hurupay public sale on MetaDAO — lost -$378, revealing zero category mastery.
Proof: 10 closed positions, 0 open, 0.4 trades per day. Total volume $444.5K sounds big, but the PnL cratered. That Backpack FDV hit was a lucky snipe against a binary outcome, not repeatable alpha. The rest? A grind to zero, with $83K already withdrawn — suggesting they knew to cut losses.
Edge: There is no edge. This is a cautionary tale. The gap between deposits ($97K) and withdrawals ($83K) implies a disciplined exit, but the ROI on deposits -14.63% screams: retail chasing hype with a small edge in noise collection fails. Math over gut didn't exist here.
Now: strait-of-hormuz- is dormant — zero open positions. Risk caveat: this trader is likely done. The Polymarket wallet checker shows a graveyard of losers with no recent activity. Not everyone survives the drawdown.
Check this wallet or explore other top Polymarket traders on Predicts.guru to see who actually stacks sats.
diversifiedRisk: low