earthStones
Loading wallet statistics...
earthStones is a Polymarket wallet profile with -$1.5K PnL, $149.2K total volume, a 36.8% win rate, and activity across 90 markets. This page summarizes the wallet's trading record, risk signal, market activity, and generated trader overview. Risk is shown as low and should be interpreted as an analytics signal, not financial advice.
Trader Overview
One wallet that deposited $1,737 and turned it into a -88.91% ROI, proving that even "low risk" on Polymarket is a death by a thousand paper cuts.
earthStones (0xc15c...5749) — rank #2,708,425, a "diversified" trader with a 36.8% win rate across 90 markets. The bio-empty wallet that screams "I thought I was smart."
Their strategy is simple: spread tiny bets (avg $35) across temperature markets in NYC. They buy low (<$0.71 avg entry) and pray for weather variance. The core edge? None — they're a noise collector farming volume, not edge. Retail chases "low risk" weather binary events, earthStones chases the illusion of free money.
Proof? Through 85 total trades, their Polymarket PnL sits at -$1.5K. Their best trade was a lucky hit on Highest temperature in NYC on November 25? (2025-11-25) for +$138. Their worst? A brutal $291 slaughter on Highest temperature in NYC on December 1? (2025-12-01). That single loss wiped out 2x their best win — and that's the math behind the facepalm.
What separates this Polymarket whale from the 99% is discipline on price but zero discipline on thesis. He buys 3x more than he sells (3.04 ratio), meaning he's always accumulating hopeless positions. Low risk label doesn't save you when weather patterns don't cooperate.
Currently holding 9 open positions, portfolio value of $163 — down from $1,737 deposited. Only $29 withdrawn. The drawdown is real, and not everyone survives losing 89% of their bankroll. Even with a "low risk" profile, this Polymarket strategy looks like capital destruction dressed in a spreadsheet.
Want to track earthStones' next move or check similar traders on the Polymarket leaderboard? Use Predicts.guru to check this Polymarket wallet and run your own Polymarket wallet analytics before deploying capital.
diversifiedRisk: low